Wednesday, June 3, 2009

The Pinnacle of Technicals

I am not a chartist in that I don't create charts and I don't have any fancy subscriptions to create charts. But I do pay very close attention to charts.

What I am seeing for so many indices, stocks, ETFs is that they appear to be on the verge of a technical reversal. The SPX has the 20 and 50 day MA's converging and the SPX itself, on any down move, will likely fall below the 20 dma and soon after the 50 dma. It may not happen in the next week or so, but it is close.

Look at SRS and SKF. All are tracking with the 20 dma and on any moves up, will cross and likely cause the 20 dma's to cross the 50 dma's.

Look at UNG. It is my current favorite because it has already crossed critical technical indicators. The price has crossed both the 20 and 50 dma's, and the 20 dma has crossed the 50 dma.

The VIX is just tracking below the 20 dma with the 50 not too far away. A cross the of the 20dma will be followed by the cross of the 50, yada yada yada...

And my other favorite is AXP. It is trying hard to break through its 20 dma and soon after the 50 dma, along with the same crossing of the 20 and 60 dma's.

Is this coincidence? Or are all of these on the verge of a reversal? Don't jump too soon because this trend could continue in a consolidation phase for awhile longer before the technicals show a clear breakout.

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